Public archive

Here you can find my public archive

Is the Fed already “loosening into Inflation?”

Ryan McMaken writes for the Mises Institute (www.Mises.org) the following: The “inflationists also hope that easy money-policy will somehow reverse the current stagnating trend in employment. In recent months, both President Trump and the usual Wall Street outlets have insisted that the Fed reduce the target policy interest rate to ensure that…


Morality is one of the Pre-Conditions for the Functioning of the Capitalistic System

In a brief essay about Moral Decline: The Path to Currency Collapse, Jonathan Wellum, argues that “In the final analysis, it's just central banks printing money, reducing its value and causing inflation as they support dishonest governments that refuse to be fiscally responsible and continually run massive deficits. Such policies flow from the…


What should Investors expect from declining US residential Property & Stock Prices?

Randall W. Forsyth (randall.forsyth@barrons.com) explained in a recent Barrons article that Trump Has a Big, Beautiful Reason to Push for Lower Rates.  According to Forsyth, “The Federal Reserve held its policy interest rate steady this past week and maintained its median projection of two quarter-point rate cuts by year end, exactly as expected. …


The Message from History is obvious: Free Trade causes mutual Prosperity while Protectionism causes Favoritism, Cronyism, and Poverty

My regular readers are familiar with my friend Kevin Duffy who is a brilliant analyst and macro-strategist and who is also the editor of The Coffee Can Portfolio (www.coffeecanportfolio.com), a highly recommended newsletter. He recently sent me an essay entitled, Mercantilism in America: The Trouble with Self-Sufficiency (first published at www.mi…


The Destructive Nature of Tariffs on “Everything”

According to Michael Snyder “Consumer sentiment is plummeting, delinquency rates are rising, and nearly three-quarters of all U.S. consumers admit that they are ‘financially stressed’. If U.S. consumers are experiencing this much pain now, what will things look like six months from today if there are empty shelves and widespread shortages? We…


Will declining Asset Prices lead to a Reverse Wealth Effect and Recession?

Last month, I discussed briefly the views of Murray Rothbard about The Difference Between the Market and the Bureaucracy. Subsequently I read an interesting essay by Rothbard entitled Why the Bureaucracy Keeps Getting Bigger, which is adapted from Bureaucracy and the Civil Service in the United States, which originally appeared on September 14,…


The Importance of the Study of Human Action and Behavior

I have to confess that when I completed my studies in economics with a PhD magna cum laude in 1969, I had never heard the names of the great contemporary “Austrian School” economists such as Friedrich von Hayek (1899 – 1992), Ludwig von Mises (1881 – 1973), and Murray Rothbard (1926 – 1995). Later, when I acquired my book collection relating to…


The Inefficiencies of Governments are leading Societies towards Corruption and Crony Capitalism

The Association of Mature American Citizens (Amac), published in January an article entitled The Biden Legacy: Nearly a Trillion in Improper Payments by Rachel Greszler who wrote that, “The fiscal year 2024 data are in, and they show that the Biden administration has overseen a record $926 billion in improper and unknown federal payments since…


The Consequences of Asymmetrical Monetary Policies

Tom McClellan (www.mcoscillator.com) wrote recently about the similarities between 1978/1980 oil stock bubble and the current period: “1980 was when President Reagan defeated the incumbent President Jimmy Carter to win election.  Reagan's victory was both anticipated and celebrated by Wall Street, as he was seen as a ‘transformative’ candidate with…


The 2024 Trump Top

Investors would do well and remember the words of Sir Arthur Conan Doyle who opined that “It is stupidity rather than courage to refuse to recognize danger when it is close upon you.” About tariffs, the great economic journalist Henry Hazlitt said: “And this brings us to the real effect of a tariff wall. It is not merely that all its visible…


Top