Public archive

Here you can find my public archive

The Interest Rate Question

According to Frank Shostak who wrote for Mises Wire an essay entitled, Financial Bubbles: How they Make Us Poorer, “we rightly associate a bubble activity with an expansionary monetary policy of the central bank. This type of policy gives rise to various undertakings that, in the absence of the expansionary monetary policy, would not have emerged.…


Progress, in Capitalistic Society, means Chaos

The Illusion of Progress by Anthony Deden is the best economic essay that I have read in recent times. Discussing the early phase of the capitalistic system during the Industrial Revolution, Deden writes that, “Behind these visible achievements lay an invisible order. Enterprise rested on saving; saving depended on restraint. Honest money was…


Excessive Speculation and Leverage as a new US national Pastime

According to a recent article by the Guardian (www.theguardian.com), 75% of Americans report soaring prices as Trump claims inflation ‘over.’ The article reads: “Nine months after Donald Trump took office, promising to reduce prices on ‘day one’, a clear majority of Americans say their monthly costs have risen by between $100 and $749, according to…


Patience as an Investment Strategy

My philosopher friend, marcel.a.emmenegger@gmail.com recently made some interesting comments about The Paradox of Corporate Morality  in an essay entitled "Optics as Ethics." He writes: Modern capitalism operates with a peculiar moral compass. Systemic harm is absorbed and normalized. Personal scandal is punished swiftly and without mercy. Nestlé…


Is the Fed already “loosening into Inflation?”

Ryan McMaken writes for the Mises Institute (www.Mises.org) the following: The “inflationists also hope that easy money-policy will somehow reverse the current stagnating trend in employment. In recent months, both President Trump and the usual Wall Street outlets have insisted that the Fed reduce the target policy interest rate to ensure that…


Morality is one of the Pre-Conditions for the Functioning of the Capitalistic System

In a brief essay about Moral Decline: The Path to Currency Collapse, Jonathan Wellum, argues that “In the final analysis, it's just central banks printing money, reducing its value and causing inflation as they support dishonest governments that refuse to be fiscally responsible and continually run massive deficits. Such policies flow from the…


What should Investors expect from declining US residential Property & Stock Prices?

Randall W. Forsyth (randall.forsyth@barrons.com) explained in a recent Barrons article that Trump Has a Big, Beautiful Reason to Push for Lower Rates.  According to Forsyth, “The Federal Reserve held its policy interest rate steady this past week and maintained its median projection of two quarter-point rate cuts by year end, exactly as expected. …


The Message from History is obvious: Free Trade causes mutual Prosperity while Protectionism causes Favoritism, Cronyism, and Poverty

My regular readers are familiar with my friend Kevin Duffy who is a brilliant analyst and macro-strategist and who is also the editor of The Coffee Can Portfolio (www.coffeecanportfolio.com), a highly recommended newsletter. He recently sent me an essay entitled, Mercantilism in America: The Trouble with Self-Sufficiency (first published at www.mi…


The Destructive Nature of Tariffs on “Everything”

According to Michael Snyder “Consumer sentiment is plummeting, delinquency rates are rising, and nearly three-quarters of all U.S. consumers admit that they are ‘financially stressed’. If U.S. consumers are experiencing this much pain now, what will things look like six months from today if there are empty shelves and widespread shortages? We…


Will declining Asset Prices lead to a Reverse Wealth Effect and Recession?

Last month, I discussed briefly the views of Murray Rothbard about The Difference Between the Market and the Bureaucracy. Subsequently I read an interesting essay by Rothbard entitled Why the Bureaucracy Keeps Getting Bigger, which is adapted from Bureaucracy and the Civil Service in the United States, which originally appeared on September 14,…


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